Volgens
theoretische studie van de EEA:
> pdf <http://www.eea.europa.eu/themes/transport/electric-vehicles/electric-vehicles-and-energy
The growth in electric vehicle use will result in extra energy demand in the European Union (EU-28): Europe's total electricity consumption by electric vehicles will increase from approximately 0.03 % in 2014 to 9.5 % in 2050.
Approach
The assessment commissioned by the EEA explored the future impacts of greater electric vehicle use upon the EU-28's energy system, and associated emissions from the road transport and energy sectors. Two scenarios were explored:
1. the share of electric vehicles as part of the entire EU-28 car fleet in 2050 was assumed to be 50% (on average);
2. the share of electric vehicles in 2050 was assumed to be 80%.
The resulting changes in energy demand and CO2 and selected air pollutant emissions were quantified. They were then compared with a European Commission 'reference' projection, which assumes that only 8% of Europe's car fleet would be electric in 2050. Other sectors and their potential future reductions in energy demand were not taken into account.
Increased electricity demand
Additional electricity generation will be required in the European Union to meet the extra energy demand arising from an 80% share of electric vehicles in 2050. The share of Europe's total electricity consumption from electric vehicles will increase from approximately 0.03% in 2014 to around 4-5% by 2030 and 9.5% by 2050.
[...]
The share of electricity consumption required by an 80% share of electric vehicles in 2050 will vary between 3% and 25% of total electricity demand across the EU-28 Member States (Figure 1), depending upon the number of electric vehicles anticipated in each country. On average, for the EU-28, the proportion of total electricity demand required in 2050 is 9.5%, compared with the 1.3% assumed in the European Commission's projection. Overall, an additional electrical capacity of 150 GW will be needed to charge electric cars.
Figure 1: Electric vehicle energy demand as a percentage of total electricity demand in 2050
Valt nogal mee niet? Men mag wel spreken van een Europees netwerk van stroomleidingen, vandaag al.
Dit is een gemiddeld percentage voor de 28 EU-landen, schatting 9,49 % gaat dan naar de electrische voertuigen, wagenparkaandeel 80 %.
Er is nog een grafiek per land (figure 1), en dat geeft voor België specifiek 13,09 %, want we gebruiken gemiddeld meer de auto dan het EU-28 gemiddelde. Bulgarije is bvb 2,48 %, Luxemburg 25,34 %.
Electric vehicle energy demand as a fraction of total electricity demand per country in 2050
% total electricity demand / Note: Assuming an 80 % share of electric vehicles in 2050.
Member State EV share | EU-28 EV share
Luxembourg 25.34
Ireland 15.78
Croatia 14.82
Slovenia 13.82
Denmark 13.76
United Kingdom 13.57
Belgium 13.09
Portugal 11.97
Austria 11.85
Greece 10.57
Germany 10.52
France 10.48
Netherlands 9.66
| EU-28 9.49
Cyprus 8.98
Italy 8.85
Latvia 8.67
Spain 8.1
Malta 8.01
Hungary 7.89
Sweden 6.11
Poland 5.9
Estonia 5.47
Slovakia 5.42
Romania 5.25
Finland 4.64
Czech Republic 4.51
Lithuania 3.56
Bulgaria 2.48
http://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/daviz/ev-share-of-total-electricity#tab-googlechartid_chart_11
Zo moesten er nog enige doemdenkers zijn die mss denken dat dan de stroom onbetaalbaar gaat worden omwille van electrische voertuigen...
(me dunkt dat olie importeren en raffineren enz... veel duurder is, BE zou 10 miljard € per jaar importeren aan olie en gas, bron: http://www.standaard.be/cnt/dmf20141222_01442027
De EU importeert vandaag nog 1 miljard € per dag aan olie alleen...: http://deredactie.be/cm/vrtnieuws/opinieblog/opinie/1.2467056 )
